2024 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 6
This year’s post Round 4 simulations suggest that the teams can be roughly grouped as below:(For anyone who is curious about the precise methodology I’ve employed, see this blog post over on the General Probability and Statistics journal)Geelong: 95% chances of being finalists; 80% chances of Top 4; 40% chances of being Minor PremierCarlton, GWS, Sydney, and Melbourne: 80% chances of being finalists; 50% chances of Top 4; 10% to 15% chances of being Minor PremierPort Adelaide, Collingwood, Brisbane...